Shifting Sun-Earth-Moon Harmonies, Beats, & Biases

A recent post to”Watt’s Up With That?” concerns Shifting Sun-Earth-Moon Harmonies, Beats, & Biases, in particular as regards affects on Earth dynamics and climate. That link is just a brief overview of the graphics. The PDF paper is more detailed, but still lacking sufficient detail on many aspects. But the author, Paul L. Vaughan, covers a lot of ground, and it appears that he is offering more fundamental explanations for the periods of such cycles as the Chandler Wobble and others.

I made a comment in “Watt’s Up With That?” along the lines of:

As noted above by many, not everything is explained well enough to form a proper judgement. However there are some intriguing things shown that create further interest.

Specifically, a bit more detail of what Morlet 7*pi means and what the original data looked like would be useful. Morlet is defined in wikipedia as a wavelet filter. It would be nice to have a list of all the acronyms used with their meanings, such as AAM, LOD, CR and so on. You do appear to be preaching to a wider audience, so please recognize that each may be familiar with only some of the terms used.

I am an interdisciplinary cycles researcher, and well aware that cycles may be used to study cause and effect in complex systems, as well as the existence of astronomical connections between planets, sun, moon and climate/weather and other things on earth. These things are properly demonstrated only with long times series (many cycles) and reasonably consistent phase throughout. Some of your graphs certainly seem to satisfy this test.

It is worth mentioning that some often quoted papers in the past do NOT satisfy this test, such as Jose’s relationship between solar cycle and motion of Sun relative to COM (centre of mass) of the solar system. Jose introduces an arbitrary sign reversal in the middle of the data because he is trying to force am 11.86 year cycle to match an 11.1 year cycle. That paper is a giant fiddle. I see no obvious similar cases in this paper, but I have only skimmed it really.



About Ray Tomes

Ray's career was in computer software development including system software design, economic modeling, investments. He spent 15 years full time on cycles research and has spoken on cycles and related topics at conferences and seminars around the world. He retired at age 42 to study cycles full time and work out “The Formula for the Universe” and as a result developed the Harmonics Theory as an explanation for observed patterns of cycles and structure of the Universe. His current project is the development of CATS (Cycles Analysis & Time Series) software, and collecting and organizing large quantities of time series data and analyzing this data to test and confirm Dewey's findings in an organized way. Interested in all aspects of cycles especially climate change and causes.
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One Response to Shifting Sun-Earth-Moon Harmonies, Beats, & Biases

  1. nuwurld says:

    I am very interested in P. Vaughan’s work. The resolution of high grade statistically significant analysis is rarely applied to complex systems as required. Paul’s breakdown of fundamental frequencies/harmonics driven by known periods is very sensible and reasonable. Spin/orbit coupling and gravitational tidal coupling through resonance is something that cannot be refuted. I applaud your mention of his work.

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